Generator Credit Risk Dashboard
Search for any NEM generator by name or DUID to view its credit risk profile: revenue, capacity factor, curtailment, MLF trajectory, and price capture.
Tip: Use the URL hash to bookmark generators — e.g. #CLRKCWF1
Period:
Potential Black Revenue (100% merchant basis)
Methodology
Revenue = Σ (MWh_5min × RRP × MLF)
Assumes the generator sells 100% of output at the spot price with no PPA or hedge in place. Useful as a stress-test floor for revenue.
Does not include PPA income, FCAS, or LGC revenue.
No data yet
Generation
Methodology
MWh = Σ (SCADAVALUE / 12)
Total energy generated each month from 5-minute SCADA data. Each 5-minute interval is divided by 12 to convert MW to MWh.
For LGC-eligible renewables (solar, wind, hydro), 1 MWh ≈ 1 LGC created. Actual LGC volumes may differ due to station use and accreditation periods.
No data yet
Capacity Factor
Methodology
CF = MWh_actual / (MW_nameplate × hours_in_month)
Ratio of actual output to theoretical maximum. Dashed line at 25% as a reference benchmark.
Low CF may reflect weather, curtailment, outages, or commissioning ramp-up.
No data yet
Grid Curtailment Analysis
Methodology
Curtailment % = 1 − (SCADA / UIGF)
Compares actual output to AEMO's unconstrained intermittent generation forecast (UIGF) from DISPATCHLOAD.
From Dec 2024: grid curtailment only (using INTERMITTENT_GEN_SCADA quality flags). Pre-Dec 2024: includes both grid curtailment and mechanical outages as they cannot be separated.
No data yet
Estimated Economic Curtailment
Methodology
Econ curtailment = forgone generation during RRP < $0 / total UIGF
Estimates energy not generated during negative spot price periods — a proxy for voluntary economic curtailment where generators bid off to avoid paying to export.
Proxy only: cannot distinguish voluntary bid-off from AEMO dispatch instructions without bid data.
No data yet
MLF Trajectory (Annual)
Methodology
MLF from AEMO DUDETAILSUMMARY per financial year
Marginal Loss Factor reflects transmission losses from the generator's connection point to the regional reference node. MLF < 1.0 means the generator's effective revenue is reduced.
Dashed line at 1.0 = no transmission loss. Draft values are indicative and may change before finalisation.
No data yet
Price Capture
Methodology
Captured = Σ(MWh × RRP) / Σ(MWh)
Volume-weighted average price received vs. simple time-weighted regional average. Ratio < 1.0 means the generator captures below-average prices (common for solar due to price cannibalisation).
No data yet
Spot Price Exposure
Methodology
Distribution of generation volume across spot price buckets ($/MWh). Shows what proportion of energy was dispatched during negative, low, moderate, or high price periods.
High exposure to <$0 indicates revenue erosion risk without a PPA floor.
No data yet
Generation (Last 12 Months)
Methodology
Daily MWh = Σ (SCADAVALUE / 12) per day
Bars show daily generation (MWh) colour-coded by capacity factor band: red (<15%), orange (15-30%), yellow (30-50%), green (≥50%). The line overlay shows daily capacity factor (%) on the right axis.
Daily data only available for last 12 months. Requires pipeline re-run to populate.
No daily data yet — run pipeline to populate